新澳门六合彩内幕信息

How Much Drought Can a Forest Take?

Aerial Tree Mortality Surveys Show Patterns of Tree Death During Extreme Drought

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Dead trees in Sierra National Forest
Dead trees in the Sierra National Forest in April 2016. Credit: USFS Region 5

Quick Summary

  • Trees in the driest, densest forests are most vulnerable to dying in extreme drought
  • Effects of extreme drought on forests can take years to surface
  • High tree mortality rates likely to continue as drought effects linger

Why do some trees die in a drought and others don鈥檛? And how can we predict where trees are most likely to die in future droughts?

Scientists from the University of California, Davis, and colleagues examined those questions in a .  

Using climate data and aerial tree mortality surveys conducted by the U.S. Forest Service during four years (2012-2015) of extreme drought in California, they found that when a drought hits the region, trees growing in areas that are already dry are most susceptible.

The research also showed that the effects of drought on forests can take years to surface, suggesting that such effects may linger even after the drought has ended.  

Southern Sierra Nevada trees are most vulnerable

The study said that trees in the driest and densest forests are the most at risk of dying in an extreme drought. In California, that makes crowded stands of trees in the Southern Sierra Nevada the most vulnerable in the state.

The concept is simple: Trees in dense forests are like multiple straws competing for the same glass of water. In wet climate conditions, that competition goes largely unnoticed. But when it鈥檚 dry, few are able to quench their thirst, setting the stage for mass mortality. 

鈥楬ow much drought a tree can take鈥

Animated GIF image
Animated GIF showing dead trees per square mile in California between 2009-2015. Credit: Derek Young/新澳门六合彩内幕信息 Davis

鈥淥ur analysis found out how much drought a tree can take,鈥 said 新澳门六合彩内幕信息 Davis Ph.D. student Derek Young, who co-led the study with Jens Stevens, a 新澳门六合彩内幕信息 Davis postdoctoral researcher during the study who is currently at 新澳门六合彩内幕信息 Berkeley, and Mason Earles, a postdoctoral researcher at Yale University. 鈥淚f forest managers want to get the biggest bang for their buck in reducing forest vulnerability to drought, this study suggests they should focus on the densest stands in the driest areas. And when we reestablish forests burned by severe wildfire in these areas, we should plant at lower densities from the beginning.鈥

was the worst in recorded history. The U.S. Forest Service aerial tree mortality surveys in 2015 estimated 29 million trees in California had died after four years of extreme drought.

Though the drought began in 2012, major effects on trees did not appear immediately. While some trees died every year, mortality spiked only in the fourth year of extreme drought.

Tree mortality a delayed reaction

In in May 2016, Young noted: 鈥淭his observation highlights the fact that tree mortality can take several years to respond to drought. Such a delayed response is often observed in studies of drought stress, and the existence of this delayed response hints that we are likely to observe high mortality well into 2016 and potentially beyond, especially in Southern California.鈥

Indeed, surveys conducted by the U.S. Forest Service in 2016 estimated an additional 62 million trees died that year.

Other study co-authors include 新澳门六合彩内幕信息 Davis associate professor Andrew Latimer, and Jeffrey Moore, Adam Ellis and Amy Jirka with the USDA Forest Service.

Study authors were supported by a National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship, EPA STAR Fellowship, and a USDA Hatch Project.

Read and other climate change on the 新澳门六合彩内幕信息 Davis website.

Media Resources

Kat Kerlin, 新澳门六合彩内幕信息 Davis News and Media Relations, 530-750-9195, kekerlin@ucdavis.edu

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